Residence groups in CAPS:
New York Jets (+2.5) over HOUSTON TEXANS
Zach Wilson will start, and his knee is 100%.
Will he be capable to put to make use of what he realized watching the Jets’ offense perk up for Mike White, Josh Johnson and Joe Flacco?
The Texans are 5-5 towards the unfold regardless of being 2-8 straight up, however I’m allergic to giving factors with a staff that didn’t cowl at +19 and +20.5 this season.
Props to the Texans for ruining a bunch of survivor swimming pools with their win as 10.5-point underdogs at Tennessee, harking back to their 2003 Week 1 win over Miami at +14.
Philadelphia Eagles (-3.5) over NEW YORK GIANTS
Whereas the Giants have received their previous two residence video games vs. the Raiders and Panthers, the state of affairs appears totally different now as a result of cautious hope has been changed by critical doubt.
Daniel Jones regressed on Monday evening at Tampa Bay. Saquon Barkley has no burst. Jason Garrett took the hit when he lost his offensive coordinator job Tuesday, and the play-calling may see a bump in creativity. However the Giants have a brief week to put in a brand new philosophy and should fight a sizzling Eagles staff that’s 3-1 SU and ATS prior to now 4 with the loss coming by three factors to the Chargers.
Pittsburgh Steelers (+4.5) over CINCINNATI BENGALS
Powerful back-to-back highway spot for the Steelers after their slender loss/cowl on the Chargers on Sunday evening. My working rely has Mike Tomlin at 42-20-2 ATS as an underdog together with 4-1 ATS this season, and Ben Roethlisberger restored some religion within the offense with the 27-point fourth quarter at Los Angeles.
INDIANAPOLIS COLTS (+3) over Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Colts have received 5 of their previous six video games, and the loss was largely a giveaway to the Titans on some colossal Carson Wentz turnovers. The dominance of Jonathan Taylor and Nyheim Hines within the working recreation has taken a lot of the stress off Wentz’s shoulders. May be robust for the Bucs to battle this meat-grinder on a brief week.
Carolina Panthers (-1.5) over MIAMI DOLPHINS
This small line flipped favorites early within the week. Figuring there’s solely a lot upside to the Miami offense with Tua Tagovailoa. Cam Newton is simply getting up to the mark within the Joe Brady offense, and he has Christian McCaffrey wholesome, a uncommon prevalence.
Tennessee Titans (+6.5) over NEW ENGLAND PATRIOTS
Tennessee had didn’t cowl its previous two video games after a four-game streak of successful outright as underdogs. Although the Titans are down a number of star gamers on offense, it is a prime betting function for them. The Titans ended Tom Brady’s Patriots profession with a playoff win in Foxborough, and Mike Vrabel received’t be kissing Invoice Belichick’s rings the best way many coaches do.
Atlanta Falcons (-1) over JACKSONVILLE JAGUARS
The Falcons have some additional relaxation off their Thursday evening beatdown by the Patriots final week. If Cordarrelle Patterson can return, that will give again Matt Ryan his prime dual-threat weapon and assist him unlock Kyle Pitts.
Los Angeles Chargers (-3) over DENVER BRONCOS
Although the notion is the Chargers infrequently win by a cushty margin, they’re 5-1 ATS within the six video games they’ve received outright. I’m nonetheless ready for that one 60-minute dominant efficiency, and this may very well be it towards a middling Denver staff.
Los Angeles Rams (+1) over GREEN BAY PACKERS
The Rams have been 7-1 earlier than a two-game nosedive towards the Titans and 49ers heading into their bye. Regardless of public assist for the Packers at residence as small favorites off a loss, the road has inched within the Rams’ route, a sign of sharp cash on L.A.
Minnesota Vikings (+3) over SAN FRANCISCO 49ERS
Although the 49ers have run the gamut from nice to horrible this season, the Vikings are at all times appear to be proper there inside a subject objective within the ultimate minutes of video games. That makes even a small unfold worthwhile, particulary when the Vikings are catching the factors.
Cleveland Browns (+4) over BALTIMORE RAVENS
Lamar Jackson probably shall be again for the Ravens, however the thought right here is that the Dolphins offered some new insights for how you can shut him down just a few Thursdays in the past. The Browns rank No. 4 in yards allowed and will comply with go well with.
WASHINGTON FOOTBALL TEAM (-1) over Seattle Seahawks
One other line that flipped favorites early within the week. Taylor Heinicke had been transferring the ball up the sphere all season however encountering a recurring horror present contained in the 20. These drives are ending ultimately zone with extra frequency of late.
Finest bets: Falcons, Panthers, Browns.
Lock of the week: Falcons (Locks 6-4 in 2021).
Final week: 9-6 total, 2-1 Finest Bets.